This Week's Herman Trend Alert

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  The Herman Trend Alert

October 31, 2001

The Emerging Drive for Security

Terrorist activities and the world's response have spawned an increasing need for security at all levels. The first emphasis has been on airport security and how that will eventually be settled remains to be seen. There are broader implications.

The threat of terrorism-from terrorists and copy-cats will drive intensified corporate security. Industrial security specialists recommend that every employer with more than 500 employees have at least one, if not a force, of security professionals on staff. Smaller organizations can use consultants and security auditors to advise them. Office buildings, industrial parks, and research facilities will pay more attention to security. How tight security can be will have to be balanced against the need for the free flow of business--not easy decisions. Expect these issues to distract business leaders from their profit-making purposes for at least the near future.

As communities strengthen their capacity to respond to terrorist activities or those incidents that seem to be related, police recruiting will increase. Former military personnel will be attractive recruits but will cause discomfort for civic leaders, concerned about how tough and tactical police should be. As the spotlight on law enforcement reveals their professionalism, these leaders will learn that a large number of police departments already have high capacity through their Special Weapons and Tactics operations. Such high performance units will be retrained to respond to new threats. Citizens will be reassured, yet will never again feel as secure as before September 11.

Executive security services will expand, providing greater protection for corporate executives. Many multi-national companies already protect senior executives, but in the future more people will be protected more comprehensively. Increasingly, companies will invest in at least enhanced security for key leaders. Recruiters for executive security firms will tap government law enforcement for talent, creating greater shortages of police officers.

Intelligence services will also step up recruiting. The CIA, FBI, National Security Agency, Defense Security Agency, and other government agencies like the State Department will hire more agents, analysts, and support people. As domestic targets are hardened, the military will also be recruiting people to specialize in counterintelligence.


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