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The Herman Trend Alert
September 16, 2020 After the COVID-19 Pandemic---Normal 2.0---Part 1 Many have asked me, "When do you think we will be back to 'normal'?" The hard truth is that we will never be back to the previous normal, but rather, we will move into a Normal 2.0---an evolved new version of normal with masks and physical distancing, testing and contact tracing becoming the rule to respond to the string of epidemics and pandemics to come. Hard-Hit Small Business Will Be Slow to Recover Barring a major infusion of cash from government, a substantial percentage of retail stores and restaurants will not re-open. Retail stores that counted on foot traffic will be slow to recover---if they are ever able to reopen. Restaurants need to look at reinventing themselves to be agile to respond to changing external environments---offering take out, meal plans, and other products to pick up the slack. Concierge services, especially those serving affluent seniors will thrive. Working from Home or Congregate Workplaces Many more of us will be working from home than we did before. For some of us, it will be a godsend; we can work around children's schedules, shopping, and other responsibilities. For others of us who are less disciplined, it will be a major challenge to put aside the distractions of home, children, pets, and other things to get the work done. Employers will recognize those challenges and provide WFH coaches for those who need them. Those of us who do go back to congregate workspaces will either be physically distanced or working parttime schedules so that fewer of us are in the workplace at the same time. Like the schools, we may have A-days and B-days in our workplaces.
Organizations Will Need to be Agile
Technology will Help Us
I've Just Scratched the Surface on Normal 2.0
Next Week: Normal 2.0---Part 2 Special thanks to Ann Price, Steve Epner, Mark Emmer, and the Copenhagen Institute for Future Studies for their insights which informed this Alert and will inform more to come.
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